Leagues, Game rules4 min read
What a football prediction game is, and how to pick one
What a football prediction game actually is, the two kinds that exist, and the five things worth checking before you talk friends into joining one.
Blog
Prediction leagues, and how to win them
How to run a league people stay in, how to call a scoreline better than a coin flip, and what our own rounds show about the way people predict.
Predicting, Leagues3 min read
Serie A prediction game: the league of the one goal win
Serie A produces more 1:0s and tight finishes than any other big league. What that means for your scorelines, your bankers, and where to play free.
Predicting, Leagues3 min read
Bundesliga prediction game: the league that ruins low scores
The Bundesliga scores more goals than any other big league, and predicting it like England or Spain costs you. What to write instead, and where to play.
Predicting, Leagues3 min read
La Liga prediction game: why the scores run low
La Liga rewards patience and punishes anyone predicting like it is the Premier League. What that means for your scorelines, and where to play free.
Leagues3 min read
A Superbru alternative for people who want scorelines
What Superbru does well for football pools, where its scoring flattens a league, and what changes when hard matches are worth more than easy ones.
Leagues3 min read
Looking for a Kicktipp alternative in English
What Kicktipp does well, what people usually want changed, and how a weekly mixed coupon with difficulty weighting compares for a group of friends.
Predicting3 min read
The checklist to run before you predict a football game
Six questions to ask about a fixture before you write anything down, and the three habits that quietly ruin most people's predictions.
Leagues3 min read
Do you need an app to predict football scores?
What a football prediction app gives you over a website, what it costs you, and what to check before installing one to play with friends.
Predicting, Leagues3 min read
Prediction sites and prediction games are not the same thing
Football prediction sites hand you tips. Prediction games ask you to call it yourself. Which one you want depends on what you are actually after.
Leagues, Predicting3 min read
Premier League prediction game: calling the scores each week
How a Premier League prediction game works when you call scorelines instead of winners, which fixtures decide your season, and where to play free.
Leagues, Predicting3 min read
Free alternatives to Sky Super 6 and the BBC predictor
What Sky Super 6 and the BBC predictor do well, where they leave you wanting more, and what to play instead if you want to call scores every week.
Leagues3 min read
Starting a football prediction game with friends
How to start a football prediction game with friends, how big to make the group, and the four things that decide whether it survives past November.
Predicting, Data4 min read
Is there a correct score prediction formula?
The maths behind correct score predictions, worked through on a real fixture: what a Poisson model gives you, what it cannot give you, and how to use it.
Data, Predicting4 min read
What percentage of matches end in each scoreline
How often each football scoreline actually happens, how far ten results get you, and what percentage of correct score calls a good predictor lands.
Predicting, Data4 min read
Football score predictors: what they can and cannot do
The three kinds of football score predictor, how to tell a calibrated one from a confident guess, and how to use the output without switching your brain off.
Data, Predicting3 min read
How often do football matches end in a draw?
About one match in four ends level, and the share barely moves from league to league or decade to decade. What that means when you fill in a coupon.
Data, Predicting3 min read
How much is home advantage actually worth?
Home teams win about 44 percent of matches, down from the high forties. What home advantage is worth in goals, why it shrank, and when to pick against it.
Predicting, Leagues4 min read
How to win a football prediction league
Seasons are won by turning up every round, spending risk where it pays, and knowing when to copy the field. A strategy guide built on the scoring maths.
Leagues3 min read
Running a prediction league in your WhatsApp group
The manual way to run a prediction league in a group chat, the four jobs that kill it by October, and how to keep the banter without keeping the admin.
Leagues3 min read
Football prediction league name ideas
Sixty names for a prediction league, grouped by the kind of group you have, plus the three rules that separate a name people repeat from one they forget.
Predicting, Data3 min read
Champions League predictions: the league phase problem
One table of 36 clubs, eight different opponents each, no return fixtures. Why the Champions League league phase is the hardest thing on any coupon.
Predicting, Data4 min read
Which football matches are hardest to predict?
Table gaps, form that contradicts the standings, derbies and big-club weight. The five things that make a fixture hard to call, and how we put a number on it.
Leagues4 min read
How to run an office football prediction league without a spreadsheet
A step by step guide to running a football prediction league at work: picking a format, scoring it fairly, and keeping it alive past October.
Leagues3 min read
How to start a Premier League prediction league with your mates
Set up a private Premier League prediction league in a few minutes: what to agree before you start, how to score it, and how to keep everyone playing.
Leagues, Game rules3 min read
The rules that stop a prediction league falling apart in October
The handful of rules worth agreeing before your football prediction league starts: deadlines, postponements, late joiners, tiebreakers and prizes.
Leagues, Game rules4 min read
Prediction league scoring systems, and which one stays competitive
Four ways to score a football prediction league compared, with the points values that keep a table competitive into spring instead of settling by October.
Game rules, Predicting4 min read
What is a banker in a football prediction game?
A banker is the pick you back to the hilt: double points if it lands, nothing if it misses. Here is how the mechanic works and when to spend one.
Predicting3 min read
How to predict football scores: a method that beats guessing
A repeatable way to call scorelines: start from a base rate, adjust for the two teams, then sanity check the number you wrote down.
Predicting3 min read
Correct score predictions: how often does anyone get one right?
How often a correct score prediction actually lands, why the honest hit rate is lower than you think, and how good scoring systems handle it.
Predicting, Data3 min read
Why everyone predicts 1:1, and when that costs you the round
The scorelines people pick most, how often they actually land, and why the crowd's favourite score is often the worst value call on the coupon.
Predicting, Leagues4 min read
Football prediction game vs fantasy football: which one suits you
Fantasy football rewards squad management over months. A prediction game rewards reading matches each week. Which one fits how you watch football.
Leagues3 min read
Free football prediction games: what to check before you invite people
What separates a free football prediction game worth inviting your friends to from one that wastes a season: scoring, deadlines, leagues and the catch.
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